BTC25 bib 2031 — runner page

Status

OK

On the way to FINISH

Expected at 09:35:57

Predicted finish

~ Sat 26 Sep 09:35

~90% chance between Sat 09:20 and Sat 09:51

Completed 2 of 3 sections.

Effort today

Current Performance Index: 603

iTRA PI 483 · running 25% above career level — PB pace

Aid station schedule

START · 0.0 km ✓

out06:00:00

A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 483 ✓

Section time 1h20m11s

Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m

expected at07:31 cut-off at09:00

in07:20:11

10 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 607 — way above career, blow-up risk

A4 · 21.7 km · Current PI 570 ✓

Section time 1h26m55s

Section 12.7 km · +429 / −1191 m

expected at08:56 cut-off at12:25

in08:47:06

9 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 600 — way above career, blow-up risk

FINISH · 28.0 km

Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m

expected at09:35 cut-off at14:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:20 and 09:51

Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

MARKEY, TOM