← BTC50 leaderboard

TASUYA, ORARIK

Race BTC50 · Bib 5035 · MALE · iTRA PI 539
Status
OK
On the way to A2
Expected at 09:27:16
Predicted finish
~ Sat 26 Sep 13:14
~90% chance between Sat 12:34 and Sat 13:53
Completed 2 of 6 sections.
Effort today
Current Performance Index: 582
iTRA PI 539 · running 8% above career level — PB pace
Aid station schedule
START · 0.0 km ✓
out05:01:00
A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 539 ✓
Section time 1h34m14s
Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m
expected at06:33 cut-off at08:00
in06:35:14
2 min SLOWER than expected
Section PI 585 — at career level
W1 · 18.8 km · Current PI 571 ✓
Section time 1h34m18s
Section 9.8 km · +688 / −684 m
expected at08:10 cut-off at11:00
in08:09:32
1 min FASTER than expected
Section PI 580 — at career level
A2 · 27.0 km
Section 8.1 km · +482 / −592 m
expected at09:27 cut-off at15:25
with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:09 and 09:45
A3 · 39.1 km
Section 12.1 km · +396 / −1011 m
expected at11:11 cut-off at17:00
with ~90% chance to arrive between 10:45 and 11:38
A4 · 45.3 km
Section 6.2 km · +137 / −176 m
expected at12:07 cut-off at18:20
with ~90% chance to arrive between 11:34 and 12:41
FINISH · 51.6 km
Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m
expected at13:14 cut-off at20:00
with ~90% chance to arrive between 12:34 and 13:53
Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

Versions: light · full