BTC50 bib 5045 — runner page

Status

OK

On the way to A2

Expected at 09:27:02

Predicted finish

~ Sat 26 Sep 13:13

~90% chance between Sat 12:34 and Sat 13:53

Completed 2 of 6 sections.

Effort today

Current Performance Index: 583

iTRA PI 434 · running 34% above career level — PB pace

Aid station schedule

START · 0.0 km ✓

out05:01:00

A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 434 ✓

Section time 1h32m19s

Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m

expected at06:55 cut-off at08:00

in06:33:19

22 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 597 — way above career, blow-up risk

W1 · 18.8 km · Current PI 548 ✓

Section time 1h36m03s

Section 9.8 km · +688 / −684 m

expected at08:06 cut-off at11:00

in08:09:22

2 min SLOWER than expected

Section PI 569 — way above career, blow-up risk

A2 · 27.0 km

Section 8.1 km · +482 / −592 m

expected at09:27 cut-off at15:25

with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:09 and 09:45

A3 · 39.1 km

Section 12.1 km · +396 / −1011 m

expected at11:11 cut-off at17:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 10:45 and 11:37

A4 · 45.3 km

Section 6.2 km · +137 / −176 m

expected at12:07 cut-off at18:20

with ~90% chance to arrive between 11:33 and 12:41

FINISH · 51.6 km

Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m

expected at13:13 cut-off at20:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 12:34 and 13:53

Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

BRYDE, BEN