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SPARKS, WILLIAM

Race BTC50 · Bib 5058 · MALE · iTRA PI 342
Status
OK
On the way to W1
Expected at 09:21:25
Predicted finish
~ Sat 26 Sep 16:22
~90% chance between Sat 15:23 and Sat 17:21
Completed 1 of 6 sections.
Effort today
Current Performance Index: 426
iTRA PI 342 · running 25% above career level — PB pace
Aid station schedule
START · 0.0 km ✓
out05:01:00
A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 342 ✓
Section time 2h09m26s
Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m
expected at07:26 cut-off at08:00
in07:10:26
15 min FASTER than expected
Section PI 426 — going harder than career
W1 · 18.8 km
Section 9.8 km · +688 / −684 m
expected at09:21 cut-off at11:00
with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:00 and 09:42
A2 · 27.0 km
Section 8.1 km · +482 / −592 m
expected at11:08 cut-off at15:25
with ~90% chance to arrive between 10:36 and 11:41
A3 · 39.1 km
Section 12.1 km · +396 / −1011 m
expected at13:33 cut-off at17:00
with ~90% chance to arrive between 12:51 and 14:15
A4 · 45.3 km
Section 6.2 km · +137 / −176 m
expected at14:50 cut-off at18:20
with ~90% chance to arrive between 13:59 and 15:41
FINISH · 51.6 km
Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m
expected at16:22 cut-off at20:00
with ~90% chance to arrive between 15:23 and 17:21
Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

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