BTC50 bib 5503 — runner page

Status

OK

On the way to A2

Expected at 08:48:57

Predicted finish

~ Sat 26 Sep 12:03

~90% chance between Sat 11:29 and Sat 12:37

Completed 2 of 6 sections.

Effort today

Current Performance Index: 680

iTRA PI 615 · running 11% above career level — PB pace

Aid station schedule

START · 0.0 km ✓

out05:01:00

A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 615 ✓

Section time 1h20m51s

Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m

expected at06:21 cut-off at08:00

in06:21:51

0 min SLOWER than expected

Section PI 682 — going harder than career

W1 · 18.8 km · Current PI 662 ✓

Section time 1h20m33s

Section 9.8 km · +688 / −684 m

expected at07:43 cut-off at11:00

in07:42:24

1 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 678 — going harder than career

A2 · 27.0 km

Section 8.1 km · +482 / −592 m

expected at08:48 cut-off at15:25

with ~90% chance to arrive between 08:33 and 09:04

A3 · 39.1 km

Section 12.1 km · +396 / −1011 m

expected at10:18 cut-off at17:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:55 and 10:41

A4 · 45.3 km

Section 6.2 km · +137 / −176 m

expected at11:06 cut-off at18:20

with ~90% chance to arrive between 10:37 and 11:35

FINISH · 51.6 km

Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m

expected at12:03 cut-off at20:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 11:29 and 12:37

Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

MORGAN, NISACHON