BTC50 bib 5507 — runner page

Status

OK

On the way to A3

Expected at 10:06:25

Predicted finish

~ Sat 26 Sep 11:47

~90% chance between Sat 11:18 and Sat 12:16

Completed 3 of 6 sections.

Effort today

Current Performance Index: 697

iTRA PI 576 · running 21% above career level — PB pace

Aid station schedule

START · 0.0 km ✓

out05:01:00

A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 576 ✓

Section time 1h17m12s

Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m

expected at06:27 cut-off at08:00

in06:18:12

8 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 714 — way above career, blow-up risk

W1 · 18.8 km · Current PI 673 ✓

Section time 1h16m48s

Section 9.8 km · +688 / −684 m

expected at07:36 cut-off at11:00

in07:35:00

1 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 712 — way above career, blow-up risk

A2 · 27.0 km · Current PI 671 ✓

Section time 1h05m15s

Section 8.1 km · +482 / −592 m

expected at08:38 cut-off at15:25

in08:40:15

1 min SLOWER than expected

Section PI 658 — going harder than career

A3 · 39.1 km

Section 12.1 km · +396 / −1011 m

expected at10:06 cut-off at17:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:50 and 10:22

A4 · 45.3 km

Section 6.2 km · +137 / −176 m

expected at10:52 cut-off at18:20

with ~90% chance to arrive between 10:28 and 11:15

FINISH · 51.6 km

Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m

expected at11:47 cut-off at20:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 11:18 and 12:16

Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

MERCADO, EILEEN