BTC50 bib 5523 — runner page

Status

OK

On the way to A2

Expected at 09:45:14

Predicted finish

~ Sat 26 Sep 13:47

~90% chance between Sat 13:05 and Sat 14:29

Completed 2 of 6 sections.

Effort today

Current Performance Index: 545

iTRA PI 451 · running 21% above career level — PB pace

Aid station schedule

START · 0.0 km ✓

out05:01:00

A1 · 9.0 km · Current PI 451 ✓

Section time 1h42m41s

Section 9.0 km · +877 / −118 m

expected at06:51 cut-off at08:00

in06:43:41

7 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 537 — going harder than career

W1 · 18.8 km · Current PI 511 ✓

Section time 1h38m34s

Section 9.8 km · +688 / −684 m

expected at08:27 cut-off at11:00

in08:22:15

5 min FASTER than expected

Section PI 554 — way above career, blow-up risk

A2 · 27.0 km

Section 8.1 km · +482 / −592 m

expected at09:45 cut-off at15:25

with ~90% chance to arrive between 09:25 and 10:04

A3 · 39.1 km

Section 12.1 km · +396 / −1011 m

expected at11:36 cut-off at17:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 11:08 and 12:05

A4 · 45.3 km

Section 6.2 km · +137 / −176 m

expected at12:36 cut-off at18:20

with ~90% chance to arrive between 12:00 and 13:12

FINISH · 51.6 km

Section 6.3 km · +185 / −184 m

expected at13:47 cut-off at20:00

with ~90% chance to arrive between 13:05 and 14:29

Current PI (Performance Index) blends how the runner is going right now with their career score: about 70% their most recent section and 30% their career iTRA PI. It updates every section and is the level we use to predict the next one. (Before the first section it's just the career iTRA PI; a runner with no career PI uses their latest section alone.)

Section PI is what that one section implies on its own — that single leg's pace against the reference, ignoring the rest of the race.

Read either against the runner's career iTRA PI: a higher number means they ran harder than their score predicts; lower means slower (tired, or pacing on purpose).

Expected at is our predicted arrival at the next aid station: its terrain-adjusted (“equivalent”) distance run at the Current PI's pace, plus a small allowance for fade because runners slow over a long day. It refreshes each time a section finishes.

LERDTHANATHORN, PLOYNAPHAT